Newcastle Plan for Bruno Exit: Danilo Talks Underway

Newcastle Initiate Danilo Talks as Bruno Guimaraes Exit Looms

Newcastle United have reportedly begun discussions over a move for former Nottingham Forest midfielder Danilo, as the club plans for the possible departure of captain Bruno Guimaraes this summer. The Magpies are preparing contingency strategies to avoid being caught off guard if their Brazilian star leaves St James' Park.

Planning for the Worst

According to reports from South American outlet O Globo, Newcastle are taking a proactive approach by opening talks for Danilo. The 23-year-old Brazilian, who spent the 2023-24 season on loan at Forest from Palmeiras before making a permanent move, fits the profile of a versatile midfielder who can operate in a deeper role. However, it must be emphasised that no agreement has been reached, and the discussions are at an early stage.

Bruno Guimaraes has been a transformative figure for Newcastle since joining from Lyon in January 2022. The 27-year-old has captained the side and been instrumental in their Champions League qualification last season. However, with top clubs circling and a release clause reportedly in his contract, Newcastle are wise to explore replacements early. The club's recruitment team is known for thorough planning, and this move aligns with their strategy of identifying targets well before a gap emerges.

Tactical and Statistical Context

Danilo, primarily a central midfielder, offers a different profile to Guimaraes. While Guimaraes excels at progressive passing and ball retention, Danilo is more of a box-to-box presence with energy and goal threat. In the 2023-24 Premier League season, he scored two goals and provided one assist in 21 appearances for Nottingham Forest, though his minutes were limited. He averaged 1.1 tackles per game and a pass completion rate of 78%, according to available data.

Eddie Howe's system relies heavily on a midfield anchor who can dictate tempo. Should Guimaraes leave, Newcastle would need to replace his creativity and leadership. Danilo, while not a like-for-like swap, could be part of a midfield reshuffle. The club also have other midfield options such as Joelinton and Sean Longstaff, but adding depth would be prudent given their return to European competition.

Transfer Market Context

Newcastle's financial position under the Premier League's profit and sustainability rules means any big-money departure would likely fund a replacement. Guimaraes has been valued at around £100 million, a fee that would give Newcastle significant room to manoeuvre. Danilo, by contrast, joined Forest for around £15 million and his market value has not skyrocketed, making him an affordable option.

The Rio de Janeiro-born midfielder has previous experience in English football, which reduces the adaptation risk. However, his time at Forest was inconsistent, and he struggled for regular starts after the 2023-24 season. A move to Newcastle would represent a step up, but he would need to prove he can handle the pressure of a top-six club.

Fantasy Premier League Implications

For FPL managers, a potential Guimaraes departure would shake up Newcastle midfield. Guimaraes is currently owned by 12% of managers and priced at £6.0m. If he leaves, his replacement would become a budget enabler. Danilo, if signed, would likely start at £5.5m or below, making him an intriguing differential. Newcastle's upcoming fixtures include home games against Crystal Palace and Bournemouth, which could be favourable for attacking returns from a box-to-box midfielder.

What's Next for Newcastle

The coming weeks will be critical. Newcastle must first ascertain Bruno's intentions. If he signals a desire to leave, the club will accelerate talks for Danilo. The Brazilian market remains a key scouting ground for the Magpies, and their move for Danilo could be the first of several midfield additions. With Champions League qualification still a possibility—Newcastle sit sixth, four points off fourth with eight games remaining—Howe will want reinforcements in place before pre-season.

Whether Danilo is the answer or merely a step in a longer process, Newcastle are showing they will not be left exposed. Their planning for a potential Bruno exit is already underway.